Prediction And Odds For The 2010 NFL Superbowl: The Smart Money Is On Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. The Buffalo Bills

A lot of my time has been spent lately looking for stats and predictions for the 2010 NFL season. My bosses here at TMR said that my columns should be based on fact and evidence. To quote them they said “Cletus don’t pull these predictions out of your ass. Do some research.”

So as I research this subject I see the “Pro” sports writers and analyst are all spouting their picks to win the 2011 Superbowl. Where are these guys getting their information? As far as I can tell there is no way to scientifically determine who is going to win a sporting event. Let alone a championship that will have 16 weeks of games determining who goes into a tournament style playoff system.

This year the FIFA World Cup had that octopus that was picking the games correctly through every round. Last year we had the autistic teenager that picked every game through the first two rounds correctly for March Madness. Still he was not able continue with that perfection all the way through the tourney.

The odds of what the Chicago teen did accomplish? One in 13,460,000, according to It’s easier to win the lottery. Twice. Which brings me to my point.

If you are going to bet on the winner of the Super Bowl you are better off buying a scratch ticket. One tweaked knee or rape allegation and a playoff bound team’s Superbowl aspirations are over. So if you are going to bet on the Superbowl this early get some bang for your buck.

You could put a $10 bet on the New Orleans Saints and pray for a repeat. That would net you a cool $100 6 months down the line. Or you could go with my “Guaranteed Money Maker Method.” Pick The Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. The Buffalo Bills.

Tampa Bay is a 50/1 longshot to win The NFC Championship. The AFC East basement dwelling Buffalo Bills are listed at 50/1 to take the AFC. What you need to do is put a parlay on the bet with the 100/1 Bills taking the Lombardi Trophy.

From Wikipedia: A parlay or accumulator is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of the parlay is that there are much higher payoffs than placing each individual bet separately since the difficulty of hitting it is much higher.

If any of the bets in the parlay loses, the entire parlay loses. If any of the plays in the parlay ties, or “pushes”, the parlay reverts to a lower number of teams with the odds reducing accordingly

You wager $1,000 on Arsenal/Manchester United to draw, Chelsea to win and Liverpool to win. You win $6,072 as you correctly predicted all three results.

So do I really think the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. The Buffalo Bills and will be in Superbowl 45? Hell no. But right now it is anybody’s guess who will go to the big dance this year. So I am going to put my money where it can do the most damage. Weirder things have happened.

So based on this formula if you parlay $10 on a Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. The Buffalo Bills Superbowl with The Bills winnig the game you are looking to make $250,000! Now that is real money. That is the kind of cash that could get me out of this trailer park. Here are all of the NFL futures for the Superbowl do what you will.

When you see me hitching up the trailer and moving to Biloxi in February don’t say I didn’t try to tip you off.

 Odds to win 2011 Superbow
 Arizona Cardinals 55/1    
Atlanta Falcons 25/1    
Baltimore Ravens 10/1    
Buffalo Bills 100/1    
Carolina Panthers 50/1    
Chicago Bears 28/1    
Cincinnati Bengals 22/1    
Cleveland Browns 80/1    
Dallas Cowboys 9/1    
Denver Broncos 65/1    
Detroit Lions 100/1    
Green Bay Packers 10/1    
Houston Texans 30/1    
Indianapolis Colts 17/2    
Jacksonville Jaguars 80/1    
Kansas City Chiefs 90/1    
Miami Dolphins 35/1    
Minnesota Vikings 14/1    
New England Patriots 12/1    
New Orleans Saints 10/1    
New York Giants 25/1    
New York Jets 10/1    
Oakland Raiders 80/1    
Philadelphia Eagles 25/1    
Pittsburgh Steelers 20/1    
San Diego Chargers 11/1    
San Francisco 49ers 25/1    
Seattle Seahawks 60/1    
St.Louis Rams 100/1    
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 150/1    
Tennessee Titans 28/1    
Washington Redskins 25/1