As we enter week 7 of the NFL season, we notice a very crazy stat being thrown around. After the 49ers declined the safety and failed to cover the 8 point spread, NFC underdogs moved to 37-5 against the spread! After week 6, we move to 12-7 on the year, but up 11.35 units as the underdog Seahawks ML came through vs the Pats. Week 7 looks to be a tough one. Who do you trust, who don’t you trust… I think I have a good idea.
Arizona Cardinals +8 -130 (3 units) : The most points the Cardinals have allowed this season has been 21 points. In fact, it was almost a year ago (Oct 30th 2011 ) since the Cards have allowed 30 points in a game. The most between then and now… 23 points. The Cards defense is for real. I see no reason why they cannot force a turnover or two and help the offense put up two touchdowns and a FG. Once that happens, I cannot imagine them not covering the 8 point spread.
Cincinnati Bengals -1 +110 (3 units): After picking the Titans over the Steelers, I got in a Facebook debate with somebody who told me that nobody could have seen that loss coming. I informed him the Steelers have been bad on the road. He told me the Steelers were a notoriously good road team. He must have different definitions of the word notorious… the Steelers are 0-7 on the road in their last 7 games. It has been awhile since the Bengals beat Pitt, but I think they get it done today with some late heroics.
Giants/Redskins u52 -110 (3 units): Only once in the past ten meetings has this game come close to this high of a number, and that was a 2009 Giants blowout win. I do not normally bring in head to head stats from previous seasons, but the exception is division games. This series between these two teams is usually a tough grinder that falls short of 40 points. The public is looking at RG3 vs Eli manning and they are just imagining buckets of points. The truth is, The NY defense is playing great and the Redskins defense has been forcing turnovers. This is a big game for both. The Redskins are fighting to stay relevant and the Giants are looking to avoid starting out 0-3 in their division! War Defense!
There you go and best of luck!
