Week 4 NFL Picks, Predictions and Stone Cold Locks – Against the Spread, Totals and Money Line

Last week was a heart breaker. Our lottery ticket Broncos looked like it was about to cash after the Broncos made up for a late Peyton Manning INT and scored a touchdown and game tying 2-pt conversion with mere seconds left in the game, only to have the defense allow a touchdown on the opening drive in overtime. With that loss in mind, we went 2-2 and ended up +0.72 units. Our first success of the season. Would have been a lot nicer if the Broncos did pull it off, but all we can do is move on and keep riding the momentum. Our season total moves to 6-6 and -5.63 units. Not a horrible spot heading into week 4. Let’s look at today’s games.

Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (+4):

There is some sharp money coming in on the home dog Vikings. The public is all over the Falcons. This can either go two ways (clearly), you can have the home underdog pull off the upset, like the Chargers did against the defending Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks, or you can have the road team beat up on the home team like the Chargers did against the Bills. My prediction here is that the Vikings are simply outmatched and will take on the roll of the Bills.  Bridgewater could be a game changer and turn the Vikings season around, especially since the Falcons have limited tape on him and his tendencies, but I think he will struggle to find his rhythm early and the Falcons should pull away early. Falcons -3, -145 to win 2 units.

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (+1.5): 

The Packers used to be a lock to win this division, now we are seeing a shift in power. Our previous pick of the Lions to win the division is looking better and better. The Packers need to get things figured out ASAP or they could be playing their way out of playoff contention before Halloween. They are 1-2 and could easily be 0-3. For some reason, the offense just is not functioning like it used too. Maybe Arron Rodgers is dropping off, maybe he doesnt have the talent around him like he used too, who knows. He will have a chance to turn things around against a banged up Bears defense, but I don’t think they will score enough to out-do the Bears. I think the Bears take this one. Chicago, to win +105, 2 units. 

Underdog play of the week (1-1):

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers (-4): 

There was a time when I was really high on Kaepernick and the 49ers. Those days seem to have come and gone. The 49ers still play solid defense, but that offense just seems to be in a rut. I no longer have Kaep in my top ten QB list. It seems teams are figuring out a way to force him to be a pocket QB and he is just not that great in the pocket. Today, the 49ers defense will have t contain the most explosive offense in the NFL. I think they will have some success, but they will need their offense t score at least 20 to keep up and I dont know if they can. I think the Eagles take this one… as much as it pains me to say. Eagles, to win +180, 2 units.